Forecast Heatmaps
L1 to Earth propagation - colour = forecast severity on arrival
Aug 17 16:41 - 17:53 UTCNOAA Alerts
Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
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Space Weather Message Code: WARK04 Serial Number: 5401 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 14 1054 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 expected Valid From: 2026 Aug 14 1052 UTC Valid To: 2026 Aug 14 2359 UTC Warning Conditions: Onset Comment: NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Type II Radio Emission
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2 Serial Number: 1520 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 14 0715 UTC ALERT: Type II Radio Emission Begin Time: 2026 Aug 14 0650 UTC Estimate Velocity: 671 km/s Comment:
Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
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Space Weather Message Code: WATA20 Serial Number: 1120 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 11 2055 UTC CANCEL WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G1 Predicted Cancel Serial Number: 1119 Original Issue Time: 2026 Aug 09 1338 UTC Cancelled Level Predicted: Aug 10 : None (Bellow G1) Aug 11 : None (Bellow G1) Aug 12 : None (Bellow G1) CME arrival 11AUG NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse
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Space Weather Message Code: SUMSUD Serial Number: 302 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 11 1141 UTC SUMMARY: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse Observed: 2026 Aug 11 1133 UTC Deviation: 12 nT Station: BOU Comment:
Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected
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Space Weather Message Code: WARSUD Serial Number: 258 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 11 1047 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic Sudden Impulse expected Valid From: 2026 Aug 11 1040 UTC Valid To: 2026 Aug 11 1248 UTC Ip Shock: 2026-08-11 10:43 Comment: Weak shock detected at L1.
Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTK06 Serial Number: 725 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 08 2108 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6 Threshold Reached: 2026 Aug 08 2100 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 Active Warning: YES Noaa Scale: G2 - Moderate Comment: Corrected for synoptic period CORRECTED NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
Geomagnetic K-index of 6 expected
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
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Space Weather Message Code: WARK06 Serial Number: 670 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 08 2035 UTC WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 6 expected Valid From: 2026 Aug 08 2035 UTC Valid To: 2026 Aug 08 2359 UTC Warning Conditions: Onset Noaa Scale: G2 - Moderate Comment: NOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
Geomagnetic K-index of 5
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTK05 Serial Number: 2044 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 08 2030 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 Threshold Reached: 2026 Aug 08 2030 UTC Synoptic Period: 1800-2100 Active Warning: YES Noaa Scale: G1 - Minor Comment: NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
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Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 2258 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 08 2029 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Extension to Serial Number: 2257 Valid From: 2026 Aug 08 1222 UTC Now Valid Until: 2026 Aug 08 2359 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence NOAA Scale: G1 - Minor NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 60 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Spacecraft - Minor impact on satellite operations possible. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes, i.e., northern tier of the U.S. such as northern Michigan and Maine.
Geomagnetic K-index of 4
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTK04 Serial Number: 2679 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 08 1140 UTC ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 4 Threshold Reached: 2026 Aug 08 1136 UTC Synoptic Period: 0900-1200 Active Warning: YES Comment: NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 65 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Weak power grid fluctuations can occur. Aurora - Aurora may be visible at high latitudes such as Canada and Alaska.
Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
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Space Weather Message Code: SUMPX1 Serial Number: 133 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 01 1702 UTC SUMMARY: Proton Event 10MeV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu Begin Time: 2026 Jul 31 1320 UTC Maximum Time: 2026 Jul 31 1555 UTC End Time: 2026 Jul 31 1745 UTC Maximum 10MeV Flux: 18 pfu Noaa Scale: S1 - Minor Comment: NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTEF3 Serial Number: 3723 Issue Time: 2026 Aug 01 1644 UTC ALERT: Electron 2MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1,000pfu Threshold Reached: 2026 Aug 01 1644 UTC Station: GOES-19 Comment: Yesterday's max: 1157 pfu
Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected
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Space Weather Message Code: WARPX1 Serial Number: 630 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 31 2154 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Proton 10MeV Integral Flux above 10pfu expected Extension to Serial Number: 629 Valid From: 2026 Jul 31 1335 UTC Now Valid Until: 2026 Aug 01 1200 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
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Space Weather Message Code: SUMPC0 Serial Number: 40 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 31 1846 UTC SUMMARY: Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu Begin Time: 2026 Jul 30 1825 UTC Maximum Time: 2026 Jul 30 1826 UTC End Time: 2026 Jul 30 1830 UTC Maximum 100MeV Flux: 1 pfu Comment:
Proton Event 10meV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTPX1 Serial Number: 367 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 31 1337 UTC ALERT: Proton Event 10meV Integral Flux exceeded 10pfu Begin Time: 2026 Jul 31 1336 UTC Noaa Scale: S1 - Minor Comment: NOAA Scale: S1 - Minor
Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted
Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
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Space Weather Message Code: WATA30 Serial Number: 279 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 31 1105 UTC WATCH: Geomagnetic Storm Category G2 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day: Jul 31: None (Below G1) Aug 01: None (Below G1) Aug 02: G2 (Moderate) THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Comment: NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact primarily poleward of 55 degrees Geomagnetic Latitude. Induced Currents - Power grid fluctuations can occur. High-latitude power systems may experience voltage alarms. Spacecraft - Satellite orientation irregularities may occur; increased drag on low Earth-orbit satellites is possible. Radio - HF (high frequency) radio propagation can fade at higher latitudes. Aurora - Aurora may be seen as low as New York to Wisconsin to Washington state.
Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTPC0 Serial Number: 57 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 31 0156 UTC CANCEL ALERT: Proton Event 100MeV Integral Flux exceeded 1pfu Cancel Serial Number: 56 Original Issue Time: 2026 Jul 30 1833 UTC Threshold was met at 30/1845 UTC and ended at 30/1850 UTC
Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected
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Space Weather Message Code: WARPC0 Serial Number: 122 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 30 1808 UTC WARNING: Proton 100MeV Integral Flux above 1pfu expected Valid From: 2026 Jul 30 1807 UTC Valid To: 2026 Jul 31 0300 UTC Warning Conditions: Onset Comment:
10cm Radio Burst
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Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R Serial Number: 925 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 30 1716 UTC SUMMARY: 10cm Radio Burst Begin Time: 2026 Jul 30 1636 UTC Maximum Time: 2026 Jul 30 1643 UTC End Time: 2026 Jul 30 1653 UTC Peak Flux: 190 sfu Duration: 17 minutes Latest Penticton Noon Flux: 143 sfu Comment:
Type IV Radio Emission
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Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP4 Serial Number: 715 Issue Time: 2026 Jul 30 1711 UTC ALERT: Type IV Radio Emission Begin Time: 2026 Jul 30 1631 UTC Comment:
Diagnóstico · disponibilidad de datos · supuestos del modelo
Data Readiness
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Model Assumptions
MRU Arrival Model
Physical Flags
Orbit Classification
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